Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 12.802383 14.715137 16.754668 19.084490 21.665289 24.429631 27.607385
2025-01-05 10.185654 12.665987 15.471808 18.857918 22.809488 27.250900 32.594886
2025-01-12 8.600071 11.428798 14.789942 19.030698 24.187702 30.203563 37.696100
2025-01-19 7.412546 10.453730 14.227524 19.175320 25.405446 32.901090 42.503592
2025-01-26 6.654522 9.891196 14.062775 19.715209 27.044671 36.091860 47.952650
2025-02-02 5.981652 9.341444 13.827075 20.090790 28.430465 38.961672 53.050744
2025-02-09 5.294193 8.681389 13.362089 20.090168 29.275463 41.124496 57.277309
2025-02-16 4.464600 7.717259 12.380472 19.290440 28.972232 41.737385 59.473638
2025-02-23 3.925446 7.119426 11.852970 19.059141 29.388212 43.266644 62.867272
2025-03-02 3.403262 6.485497 11.210396 18.600947 29.435687 44.265822 65.545681
2025-03-09 3.017706 6.025675 10.784483 18.415971 29.835460 45.728868 68.859964
2025-03-16 2.626577 5.509559 10.223271 17.978882 29.828431 46.599885 71.357254
2025-03-23 2.388782 5.236458 10.030056 18.095741 30.642734 48.658585 75.575067
2025-03-30 2.138400 4.910350 9.720396 18.002564 31.124684 50.242227 79.152131
2025-04-06 1.969251 4.715857 9.613337 18.219808 32.076442 52.520723 83.761484
2025-04-13 1.808096 4.517120 9.480529 18.380186 32.935581 54.675822 88.233549
2025-04-20 1.717490 4.449184 9.570826 18.910783 34.387392 57.739442 94.085661
2025-04-27 1.611061 4.335574 9.567913 19.277651 35.583918 60.443369 99.462676
2025-05-04 1.466183 4.121553 9.361841 19.278472 36.182163 62.248488 103.542536
2025-05-11 1.244140 3.705124 8.737822 18.505245 35.474728 62.024552 104.578512
2025-05-18 1.108248 3.466338 8.434896 18.281707 35.658364 63.167778 107.678198
2025-05-25 0.965011 3.187636 8.027168 17.838584 35.445964 63.673860 109.807192
2025-06-01 0.861830 2.992594 7.771922 17.659713 35.669618 64.863929 112.996651